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Desperate Rockets hope to maintain mastery of Thunder

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03/24/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Houston Rockets shoot for their 14th straight victory over the playoff-hopeful Oklahoma City Thunder tonight at the Ford Center.

The Thunder franchise hasn't beaten Houston since they were known as the Seattle SuperSonics back in the 2005-06 season, but it's the Rockets that are the desperate team tonight.

Houston is five games behind Portland for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference with just 13 to play. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, has been the NBA's most improved team and is more than likely to reach the postseason for the first time since moving from Seattle.

The Thunder have bounced back from a 59-loss season last year to compile an impressive 42-27 mark so far and are currently deadlocked with San Antonio for the sixth seed in the West.

The Rockets' playoff hopes took another blow in their last outing on Monday, when Derrick Rose and Kirk Hinrich combined to score 13 straight points for Chicago down the stretch and the Bulls held off a late Houston charge to capture a 98-88 victory at the United Center.

Luis Scola posted 22 points and 10 rebounds for Houston, which has dropped two of three to follow a four-game win streak.

"We didn't come out after halftime really good," Scola said. "[The Bulls] hit a lot of shots and got ahead, and it became more difficult for us."

Trevor Ariza recorded 18 points, nine boards, five assists and three steals for Houston, while Kevin Martin scored 19 points. Aaron Brooks struggled mightily to a 3-of-17 showing from the floor to end with nine points as the Rockets collectively shot 33.7 percent from the field.

The Thunder have also scuffled a bit recently and lost their second straight game Monday against the Spurs. George Hill scored a career-high 27 points in that one as San Antonio held off Oklahoma City, 99-96, despite 45 points from Thunder forward Kevin Durant.

Durant, who shot 15-of-24 from the field and missed just one of his 15 foul shots, tied a season-high in points and was two shy of a career best. He also had eight rebounds, but the Thunder lost for the third time in four tries after a five-game winning streak. They were coming off a 20-point loss at Indiana on Sunday.

"One thing you have to realize in this league, elite teams lose 20 to 25 times a year," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "We're working our way to becoming an elite team, a team that's going to battle every night. This is part of it."

Jeff Green had 16 points, Russell Westbrook 12 and Serge Ibaka 10 for the Thunder in the loss.


<< Habs get reinforcements for battle in Buffalo
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hoping to inch closer to their first division title in three seasons the Buffalo Sabres seek a fourth consecutive victory this evening at HSBC Arena when they host the rival Montreal Canadiens, who are expected to have both M

<< Report: Charge against Sapp dropped
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A charge of domestic violence against former NFL All-Pro Warren Sapp has reportedly been dropped. According to The Miami Herald, prosecutors decided Wednesday not to pursue the charge. Sapp was arrested in

<< Pens and Caps clash in D.C.
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tonight's matchup between the Capitals and Penguins will feature two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference as well as the top two goal scorers in the NHL. The Caps will also try to keep it one-sided. Washington shoots

<< Rangers try to solve Isles at MSG
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - If the Rangers are going to climb back into the playoff race, finding a way to beat the Islanders would be helpful. The visiting Islanders will try to beat the Rangers for the fourth time in five meetings this season as th

<< Pacers, Wizards clash in Indy
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - While the Indiana Pacers will be shooting for their longest winning streak in four months, the Washington Wizards hope to avoid matching a franchise record for consecutive losses when these two teams square off tonight

Bucks to host Sixers, shoot for ninth straight home win >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The playoff-hopeful Milwaukee Bucks aim for their ninth straight win at the Bradley Center in tonight's matchup against a hapless Philadelphia 76ers team that has dropped 13 of their last 15 encounters. The Bucks earned th

Lakers begin road trip with stop in San Antonio >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Lakers continue their march to the postseason Wednesday by opening up a five-game road trip in the Alamo City against their long time rival, the San Antonio Spurs. The Lakers won their sixth straight game o

Wings welcome Blues for important test at the Joe >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Red Wings will try to continue their surge to the playoffs tonight when they welcome the St. Louis Blues for a key battle at Joe Louis Arena. The Red Wings are holding onto the Western Conference's eighth and f

Kings and Avs cap home-and-home in Denver >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A battle between playoff hopefuls is on tap tonight in Denver as the Colorado Avalanche welcome the Los Angeles Kings to Pepsi Center for the finale of a home-and-home series. The Kings won the opener Monday in Los Angeles

Grizzlies head to Golden State seeking needed win >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Memphis Grizzlies hope to help their slim playoff hopes tonight by beating the woeful Golden State Warriors for the second time in five days. The Grizzlies routed Golden State, 123-107, in Memphis last Saturday. Mos

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The NFL preseason is approaching. Time for players, coaches and teams to turn over a new leaf. General managers have hired some new coaches, while coaches have added some offensive and defensive assistants to try and improve things. Here’s a look at some changes to look for in the preseason.

New York Jets: The Jets were one of the surprise teams in the NFL last season, making the playoffs under hard-driving first-year coach Eric Mangini. Mangini rebuilt the offensive line with rookies D'Brickashaw Ferguson (the No. 4 pick in the 2007 Draft) and Ohio State center (the 29th pick in the first round). This season he upgraded the defense with rookie linebacker David Harris (Michigan) while the secondary picked up a much needed top-notch corner in Pitt CB Darrelle Revis (No. 14 overall).

The Jets have added balance to the offense for QB Chad Pennington with RB Thomas Jones, essentially stolen from the Bears. He will upgrade a New York ground game that was 20th in rushing with a weak 3.5 yards per carry. They have their first true feature back since Curtis Martin. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer prefers ball control, like his father Marty. In preseason, behind Pennington you’ll see second-year QB Kellen Clemens and mobile newcomer QB Marques Tuiasosopo.

Jacksonville Jaguars: The heat is on Jack Del Rio in Jacksonville as the Jaguars flopped last season despite a ton of talent. Keep in mind that under Del Rio the Jaguars have been outstanding in preseason with a 12-4 SU, 11-5 ATS August mark. online football betting Their defense is loaded, it’s the offense that has been stuck in first gear the last few years.

Enter a new offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter, the former Boise State and Arizona State pass-happy coach. He will try and upgrade a passing game that ranked 24th last season. Del Rio has criticized wide receivers and Matt Jones this summer, both of whom have battled injuries. It will be interesting to watch the “new” Jaguars passing game in preseason.

Arizona Cardinals: Word out of Arizona is that the players like new coach Ken Whisenhunt, who was the Steelers offensive coordinator last year. We think of Arizona as all-passing because their running game has been awful of late because of a poor offensive line. However, keep an eye on the running game in preseason as they’ve made a lot of changes.

The new coach brings in Russ Grimm to coach the offensive line (Grimm did a marvelous job building the Steelers line). They took Penn State OT Levi Jones in the first round and signed two offensive linemen, Mike Gandy and Al Johnson, to provide depth. Reggie Wells was moved from right tackle to left guard and they want more speed out of the offensive line for pulling and traps, a Pittsburgh staple under Bill Cowher.

Atlanta Falcons: While all the attention has been focused on QB Mike Vick’s off-field problems, new coach Bobby Petrino is revamping the Falcons from an all-running team to a more balanced one. Petrino likes the experience of backup QB Joey Harrington and he has veteran backup Chris Redman, who used to play for Petrino at Louisville and knows his offenses better than anyone. Petrino wants Vick to be more of a pocket passer.

The addition of FB Ovie Mughelli is a sign Petrino wants a power rushing attack behind a physical fullback and newcomer WR Joe Horn should upgrade what was a below average wideout corps. Petrino is changing their old zone-blocking scheme to a more traditional in-line blocking scheme and the offensive line is bigger. Rookie DE Jamaal Anderson was grabbed in the first round and the secondary got younger with former Auburn cornerback David Irons, who the Falcons think was a steal as a sixth-round pick.

Cleveland Browns: The 2007 Browns look like a double-edged sword. There was the excitement of the offseason, trading for RB Jamel Lewis, upgrading the offensive line with Wisconsin’s Joe Thomas (the No. 2 pick in the draft) and free agent LG Eric Steinbach, then trading for Notre Dame QB Brady Quinn when he fell to No. 22. GM Phil Savage and head coach Romeo Crennel feel they have a talented, balanced offense with these new pieces, plus TE >Kellen Winslow and WR Braylon Edwards.

However, were these moves made in desperation? And were they foolish ones? The Browns gave up their 2008 first-round pick for Quinn and we all know QBs take time to develop. And even first-round QBs can be busts (Joey Harrington, Akili Smith). We also don’t know if the offensive line is that much improved (31st in rushing in 2007) and they did nothing to improve a defense that was awful against the run (142 yds pg allowed).

The Browns have a new offensive coordinator in Rob Chudzinski. This is a young offense and Quinn looked tentative, indecisive and inaccurate early in camp. Crennel will play Charlie Frye, Quinn and Derek Anderson in preseason. And there is a mixed bag for rookie QBs receiving significant starts: Tim Couch (14), Kerry Collins (13), Ben Roethlisberger (13), Vince Young (13), Joey Harrington (12), Matt Leinart (11) and Kyle Boller (nine). While all the focus will be on the Browns new-look offense, I’m more concerned with the defense.

Carolina Panthers: Coach Jon Fox loves the ground game, but Carolina has made some interesting changes for 2007. Fox fired offensive coordinator Dan Henning and brings in Jeff Davidson to run the offense. Davidson has brought in zone-blocking schemes to the Panther offense, a dramatic change for a system that's been built around a power-running style.

In zone-blocking, offensive linemen are responsible for blocking any defender who appears in their zone, instead of focusing on one defender. The Broncos and Falcons have had success with the system, which features smaller, more athletic offensive linemen and can create running lanes on the inside and outside. Keep an eye in preseason on how Carolina adjusts as it will take time to learn the system. Fox has been one of the top coaches in preseason, with a 15-5 SU, 12-7-1 ATS August record.

Dallas Cowboys: WR Terrell Owens is still here, but QB Drew Bledsoe and Bill Parcells are gone. New head coach Wade Phillips takes over, replacing Parcells. He ran the Chargers defense last season. Phillips was chosen by teary-eyed owner Jerry Jones partly because he is one of the best 3-4 coaches in football and the Cowboys have loaded up on players for that scheme.

Remember that Phillips was blitz-happy with the Chargers last season and early reports out of the Dallas camp have mentioned how the Cowboys have been blitzing a lot, a departure from Parcells. The theme of the 2007 Dallas defense appears to be one of attack.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

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