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West Virginia gets past Cincinnati

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/27/2010 - Morgantown, WV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kevin Jones netted 10 of his 15 points in the second half and Darryl Bryant added 14, as eighth-ranked West Virginia got by the Cincinnati Bearcats, 74-68, at WVU Coliseum.

Devin Ebanks provided 12 points and 10 rebounds, while Wellington Smith kicked in 10 and seven for the Mountaineers (22-6, 11-5 Big East), who rebounded nicely from an 11-point loss to UConn on Monday for their third win in four games.

Deonta Vaughn had 15 points and Lance Stephenson scored 14 with nine rebounds for the Bearcats (16-12, 7-9), who were coming off a win against DePaul but dropped their third game in the last four.


<< Aggies too much for Texas in Lone Star State Showdown
College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Donald Sloan had 19 points as 22nd- ranked Texas A&M took down No. 21 Texas, 74-58, in the Lone Star State Showdown. David Loubeau added 15 points and seven rebounds, while Ray Turner

<< Catania eases relegation worries
Catania, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Catania gained a bit of breathing room in their relegation battle on Saturday as they recorded a 4-0 win over Bari at the Angelo Massimino. The home side entered the weekend only one point above the

<< Santa Anita forced to reschedule another Derby prep
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Santa Anita Park once again was forced to cancel a Saturday racing program due to excessive rain. The track's February 27 card, featuring the Sham Stakes, was sent down the toilet because of heavy overnig

<< Vandy downs Arkansas, closes in on Kentucky
Fayetteville, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeffery Taylor scored 18 points and grabbed five rebounds to help 16th-ranked Vanderbilt beat Arkansas, 89-72, at Bud Walton Arena. A.J. Ogilvy had 14 points and six boards for the Commodores (22-

<< Baylor holds off Oklahoma
Norman, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - LaceDarius Dunn led the way with 21 points, as 24th-ranked Baylor downed Oklahoma, 70-63, at Noble Center. Ekpe Udoh contributed 20 points and seven blocks for the Bears (22-6, 9-5 Big 12), winners in five

Longhorns' Brown taken off court on stretcher >>
College Station, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Texas Longhorns freshman guard J'Covan Brown was injured in Saturday's 74-58 loss to Texas A&M and was taken off the court on a stretcher. The injury occurred when Aggies guard B.J. Holmes dr

Schrader helps Notre Dame dominate Seton Hall >>
South Orange, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lindsay Schrader had 12 points to lead seventh-ranked Notre Dame past Seton Hall, 72-47. Melissa Lechlitner netted 10 points for the Fighting Irish (25-3, 12-3 Big East), while Ashley Barlow and

Bucks top Heat for sixth straight win >>
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - John Salmons recorded 18 points and Jerry Stackhouse hit four three-pointers on the way to adding 16, as the Milwaukee Bucks took it to the Heat in a 94-71 road win. Carlos Delfino chipped in 15 point

Real rolls; Barca survives >>
Barcelona, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Barcelona maintained its two-point lead on second-placed Real Madrid with a 2-1 win over Malaga, while Real cruised to a 5-1 triumph at Tenerife. Real took over the top spot in La Liga for a few hours on

New Mexico edges BYU for 13th straight win >>
Provo, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dairese Gary posted 23 points with six assists as 10th-ranked New Mexico edged 13th-ranked BYU, 83-81, at Marriott Center. Darington Hobson recorded 20 points and 14 rebounds for the Lobos (27-3, 13-2 MWC),

Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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