Bruins try to strengthen grip on playoff spot versus Devils
Hockey Betting Lines
03/30/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Bruins will continue their push for the
postseason tonight when they visit the New Jersey Devils for a battle at
Prudential Center.
The Bruins enter tonight as the eighth and final playoff seed in the Eastern
Conference, but they are just two points ahead of Atlanta, which is playing
this evening in Toronto. Boston has seven games left on its schedule, giving
it a game in hand over the Thrashers.
Meanwhile, the Devils, who have already clinched a postseason spot, will try
to draw even with Pittsburgh for first place in the Atlanta Division tonight.
New Jersey enters Tuesday trailing the Penguins by two points for the division
lead as well as the second seed in the East.
New Jersey would appear to have the upper hand in tonight's matchup as the
Devils are 3-0 against the Bruins this season. Overall, the Devils have
taken five of six and nine of 12 in the series. Boston has also lost five of
its last six on the road in this series.
However, the Devils have just two wins in their last six games (2-2-2) and
were handed a 5-1 setback Sunday in Philadelphia. Ville Leino and Simon Gagne
each had a goal and an assist to lift the Flyers to the easy win over their
division rivals.
Ilya Kovalchuk scored the lone goal while Martin Brodeur was charged with
four goals on 19 shots over two periods for the Devils. Yann Danis played
the third period in net and stopped five shots.
"You can't fault Marty for the screened shots," Devils coach Jacques Lemaire
said. "We have to do a better job in front of him."
As for Kovalchuk, he continues to be productive for the Devils since coming
over in a trade with Atlanta last month, posting 20 points (8 goals, 12
assists) in 20 games. Still, Jersey has been less than stellar with the
Russian sniper in the lineup, going 9-8-3 with Kovalchuk on the wing.
The Devils are 25-10-2 as the host this year and are playing the first of
two straight on home ice tonight. Jersey will also welcome Chicago to the
Rock on Friday.
Meanwhile, Boston has lost two of its last three games and the Bruins failed
to pick up a point in Monday's 3-2 loss against visiting Buffalo. Ryan Miller
stopped 40-of-42 shots to lead the Sabres to the close victory at TD Garden.
David Krejci and Dennis Seidenberg scored for the Bruins. Starter Tim Thomas
was pulled after allowing three goals on 14 shots in 26-plus minutes. Tuukka
Rask stopped all 19 shots he faced the rest of the way. Rask is expected to
get the start tonight.
The Bruins have a 18-13-6 record as the visiting team this year, but they have
won their last two road tilts.
<< Thrashers try to rebound against Maple Leafs
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The playoff hopeful Atlanta Thrashers will try to bounce
back when they visit the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight at Air Canada Centre.
The Thrashers enter tonight two points behind Boston for the eighth and final
playoff seed
<< Pacific and Missouri State square off for CIT crown
Springfield, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Missouri State Bears and Pacific Tigers
will meet one another tonight in Springfield, with the CollegeInsider.com
Tournament championship on the line. Last year was the first for this event,
with Old Domin
<< Wizards take record losing streak to Houston
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Washington Wizards hope to halt a franchise-record 15-
game losing streak tonight in south Texas when they take on the Houston
Rockets at the Toyota Center.
Washington's most recent failure came on Saturday
<< Playoff-hopeful Bucks welcome Clippers to Brew City
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Bucks are inching closer to their first
postseason berth in four years as they wrap up a five-game homestand against
the hapless Los Angeles Clippers tonight.
The Bucks haven't reached the playoffs s
<< Thunder open road trip in Philly vs. Sixers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With playoff seeds still unsettled in the jumbled Western
Conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder will try to solidify their postseason
spot when they open a three-game road trip tonight against the Philadelphia
76ers at the Wa
Rangers wrap season series with Islanders >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Rangers will try to help their playoff chances alive
tonight when they visit the Islanders at Nassau Coliseum for another battle
between the New York teams.
The Rangers enter tonight as the 10th seed in the East. The B
Suns try to punch playoff ticket at Chicago >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A desperate Chicago Bulls team hosts a red-hot Phoenix Suns
club on the verge of clinching a postseason berth at the United Center on
Tuesday night.
The Bulls currently are one game behind Toronto for the eighth
Blackhawks seeking to bounce back in visit to St. Louis >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Coming off of back-to-back losses to one of the Western
Conference's bottom teams, the Chicago Blackhawks will try to right the ship
when they begin a three-game road trip this evening against the St. Louis
Blues at Scottrade
Predators aim to maintain recent mastery of slumping Kings >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When March began, the Los Angeles Kings seemed like a lock
to snap their eight-season playoff absence. A season high-tying losing streak
later, and things don't seem very guaranteed for the team anymore.
The Kings will att
Canucks, Coyotes to face off in marquee matchup >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lee Stempniak has been a force since the Phoenix Coyotes
acquired him at this year's trade deadline. Henrik Sedin, meanwhile, has been
pacing the Vancouver Canucks' offense all season long.
Stempniak will try to continue h
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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